VAR CF0714 WILL PRESIDENTIAL RACE BE CLOSE

VAR CF0714    WILL PRESIDENTIAL RACE BE CLOSE
              COLUMNS 569-569
              NUMERIC
              MD EQ 0


      (IF R PREDICTS A WINNER IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) Do you think it [the
      presidential race] will be a close race or will <R's predicted winning
      candidate> win by quite a bit?
      1980 and later: (IF R REPLIES "DK" WHO WILL WIN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:)
      Do you think the presidential race will be close or will one candidate
      win by quite a bit?
      -------------------------------------------------------------------

        USE WEIGHT VARIABLE VCF0009/VCF0009A/VCF0009B.

        1956 cases originally coded as "closer than last time," "same as last
        time" or "not so close as last time" (100 cases) have been recoded as
        0 in VCF0714.

        In 1964 only, if R predicted a winner who was not from the major
        parties, then this question was not asked.

               1.  Will win by quite a bit
               2.  Close race
               9.  DK; pro-Con; depends; etc.

               0.  NA; INAP, no pre IW (1952,1960); R replies DK who will win
                   (1952-1976); R's prediction NA; question not used

        1952:  14              1956:  13             1960:  18
        1964:  19              1968:  26             1972:  26
        1976:  3027            1980:  55             1984:  77
        1988:  99              1992:  3103           1996:  960382
        2000:  000486,000487


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