VAR CF9029 WILL PRES ELCTION BE CLOSE IN STATE

VAR CF9029    WILL PRES ELCTION BE CLOSE IN STATE
              COLUMNS 913-913
              NUMERIC
              MD EQ 9


        How about here in <R's state>.  Which candidate for President do you
        think will carry this state?  (1988,1984, IF NECESSARY: Which
        candidate will win in this state?)

        ALL YEARS:  (IF NAME GIVEN) Do you think (1972: it) (1988,1996: the
        Presidential race) will be close here in <R's state> or will <name
        given> win by quite a bit?

        1980,1984,1988,1992 ONLY:  (IF DK) Do you think the Presidential race
        will be close here in <R's state> or will one candidate win by quite a
        bit?
        -------------------------------------------------------------------

        USE WEIGHT VARIABLE VCF0009/VCF0009A/VCF0009B.

        The 1952 version of this question was not comparable.

        In 1972 and 1976, if R replied DK to 'Which candidate do you think
        will carry this state?' (VCF9028) then this question was not asked and
        R has been coded 9 here.  In other years, if R replied DK to the
        preceding question, then this question was still asked.

               1.   Close race
               3.   Win by quite a bit
               8.   DK; depends

               9.   NA; NA who R thinks will carry R's state (9 in VCF9029)
                    (all years); DK who will win in R's state (8 in VCF9028)
                    (1972,1976 only); INAP, question not used

        1972:  28            1976:  3029           1980:  58
        1984:  79            1988:  101            1992:  3105
        1996:  960384


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