Large Deviations

Theory and Applications of
Large Deviation Statistics
June 4-8, 2007
335 West Hall, University of Michigan
1085 S.University Ave, Ann Arbor MI 48109
The Michigan Center for Theoretical Physics

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Speaker:

Robert Keener

Title:

Random Walks Conditioned to Stay Positive

Abstract:

Let Sn be a random walk formed by summing i.i.d. integer valued random variables Xi, i 1: Sn = X1 + · · · + Xn. If the drift EX is negative, then Sn −∞ as n → ∞. If An is the event that Sk 0 for k = 1, . . . , n, then P(An) 0 as n → ∞. In this talk we will consider conditional distributions for the random walk given An. The main result will show that the finite dimensional distributions given An converge to those for a time homogeneous Markov chain on {0, 1, . . .}.

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Greenfield Village Trip
Wednesday, June 6,
following the
afternoon session

Banquet Information

June 7th 6:30 PM

Organizing Committee

Anna Amirdjanova,
Department of Statistics,
University of Michigan

Charlie Doering,
Departments of Mathematics and 
Physics & MCTP
University of Michigan

Len Sander,
Department of Physics
& MCTP
University of Michigan